Given the weather promises to make things extra tough this year, I think you could see Graeme McDowell contend. If there was ever a mudder, he's the guy. He's tough as nails. Another European who just might surprise everyone is Cabrera-Bello. His record in the Majors certainly doesn't inspire confidence, but he was seven under in his last round last week in Texas to have a top five finish and he's currently number two in the Race to Dubai. He's been knocking on the door all year and he could just surprise everyone by being the first guy since Fuzzy to win in his first try at Augusta. Granted, he's a dark horse, but he's coming into Augusta full of confidence and now realizing that he is a world class player.
And then there's Sergio. Could he finally get a Major? I know his putting can be suspect, and he's even said he's not good enough to win a Major. But he's been in great form this year and with the wind blowing his ball striking makes him one of the guys who can handle the conditions from tee to green. It's whether he can make the six footer when he has to that is the question.
Another ball striker who might finally break through is Stenson. Henrik is probably the best ball striker in the game right now. The ball always seems to come out of the center of his bat. Again, the issue is going to be putting with the big Swede.
The reality is there are alot of guys coming into Augusta in great form. The difficult conditions will, however, make it likely that the winner will be the guy who just refuses to give up. I'm not necessarily betting on a European winner this year. But I'm certainly not betting against it.